Lynch Poll Claims Close Race

A statewide phone poll conducted over the weekend for the Stephen Lynch campaign shows the South Boston Democrat trailing fellow congressman Ed Markey by six percentage points with a week left before next Tuesday's US Senate primary.

The poll of 1374 likely voters in the Democratic primary, concluded before back-to-back debates Monday and Tuesday, found 44.5 percent planning to vote for Markey, 38.9 percent for Lynch, and 16.5 percent undecided. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.7 percent.

Both are viewed favorably by most likely primary voters. Markey is seen as very or somewhat favorable by 67 percent, with 27 percent saying very or somewhat unfavorable; for Lynch the response is 62 percent favorable, 30 percent enfavorable.

The poll suggests that the composition of voters who come to the polls Tuesday — in a race largely overshadowed by the marathon bombing as well as the Boston mayoral race — could go a long way toward determining the Democratic nominee.

Markey holds a 21-point advantage with registered Democrats, who account for 59 percent of the poll respondents; and a 14-point lead among women, who account for 58 percent. Lynch holds a 17-point lead among unenrolled voters, and a six-point lead among men. Markey does better among older voters, while Lynch leads with voters under age 50.

The Markey campaign did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

Update: "Leaking their internal polling represents another clear sign of desperation from the Lynch campaign," says Markey press secretary Andrew Zucker.

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  • 4/24/2013 2:57 PM Dennis Desmond wrote:
    I Feel Markey is A More Experienced Politician, I Was Particularly Impressed By Him During The BP Oil Fiasco,We All Know Polls Vary, I Feel This Will Be a Win For Markey.DD
    Reply to this
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